2025 NBA picks, March 5 predictions from proven model

We’ve got another exciting Western Conference matchup on the NBA schedule as the Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies are set to tip at 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at the FedEx Forum. Memphis is 38-23 overall and 22-9 at home, while Oklahoma City is 50-11 overall and 23-7 on the road. The Thunder have won seven consecutive games against the Grizzlies.

The Thunder are favored by 8.5 points in the latest Thunder vs. Grizzlies odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 250.5 points. Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Thunder picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 20 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 147-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 18-10 (64%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Oklahoma City vs. Memphis. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

Grizzlies vs. Thunder spread: Grizzlies +8.5
Grizzlies vs. Thunder over/under: 250.5 points
Grizzlies vs. Thunder money line: Grizzlies: +268, Thunder: -328
Grizzlies vs. Thunder picks: See picks here
Grizzlies vs. Thunder streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
TODAY
Oklahoma City
Memphis
-8 -109
+8 -111
-321
+257
O252.5 -112
U252.5 -108
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Why the Thunder can cover
The Thunder came out on top against the Rockets by a score of 137-128 on Monday. The Grizzlies better keep an eye on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He was instrumental in the Thunder’s win, going 18-for-30 en route to 51 points, seven assists and five rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander is scoring 32.6 points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. He’s knocking down 52.5% of his field goals and 37.5% of his 3-point attempts.

The Thunder were working as a unit and finished the game with 31 assists. Oklahoma City has now posted at least 25 assists in eight consecutive matchups. The Thunder are 13-2 in their last 15 games and 6-1 against the spread in their past seven meetings against Memphis. See which team to pick here.

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Why the Grizzlies can cover
The Grizzlies suffered a 132-130 loss to the Hawks on a last-minute shot from Caris LeVert. The Grizzlies didn’t live up to their potential and found themselves falling short of the advantage oddsmakers thought they had coming into the game. Despite the defeat, the Grizzlies got a productive performance from Desmond Bane, who dropped a triple-double with 35 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists.

The Grizzlies are 9-3 in their last 12 games against an opponent from the Western Conference. Memphis is also 7-2 against the spread in its last nine home games against Oklahoma City. See which team to pick here.

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How to make Thunder vs. Grizzlies picks
The model has simulated Grizzlies vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Thunder vs. Grizzlies, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 147-107 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season, and find out.

Where to bet on NBA games
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